Tactical Insight. Market Savvy.

Market Internals

 Market Internals:

Breadth:

  • Market breadth indicators measure market participation. They compare the number of stocks that are advancing to those that are declining.

  • They look for trends and divergences in cumulative measures and overbought/oversold levels in oscillating measures.

  • Market breadth is positive when more stocks are advancing compared to those declining in an exchange or an index. This may indicate a bullish market.

  • Market Breadth is used to find weaknesses that a chart cannot show. However, market breadth indicators may provide timing signals that are considered too early.

  • Some indicators include the Advance-Decline Line, McClellan Oscillator, SPX % > 50-day MA, SPX % Oversold, SPX % Overbought, New Highs - Lows Index, Up-Volume vs Down-Volume, etc.

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Leadership:

  • Leaderships provide an idea of the “legs” behind a market move. They are useful in confirming rallies and declines.

  • Some indicators include NYSE New 52-Week Highs and NYSE New 52-Week Lows.

06-01-2021_NWHLNYHI.png

Sentiment: 

  • These indicators attempt to judge and quantify the emotions behind a market move. Sentiment indicators are usually contrarian indicators.

  • Some indicators include:

    • CBOE Volatility index (VIX): Transactional sentiment indicator commonly used as a gauge of complacency

    • CNN Fear and Greed Index: Transactional sentiment indicator that incorporates seven inputs, such as the VIX and junk bond demand.

    • Investor Polls (Investors Intelligence and American Association of Individual Investors)

    • Put/Call Ratios, etc.: Take note of spikes and dips, which show emotional extremes

Volume: 

  • Volume is the total number of shares that are actively traded during a set period of time.  It is the measure of a total turnover of shares.  

  • We watch total volume but shy away from evaluating for individual stocks.

  • Make note of spikes, which are most insightful because they are often found at inflection points on emotionally-charged moves.